 |
| Click on image to enlarge The Faces of Toutatis Credit- NASA/JPL |
is to come uncomfortably close at 18 Lunar Distances on 12DEC2012.
| 4179 Toutatis | 2012-Dec-12 | 0.0463 | 18.0 | 5.4 km | 15.3 | 11.91 |
Wikipedia Entry for 4179 Toutatis-
Close approaches and collision risk
Toutatis makes frequent close approaches to Earth, with a currently minimum possible distance (Earth MOID) of just 0.006 AU (2.3 times as far as the Moon).[1] The approach on September 29, 2004, was particularly close, at 0.0104 AU[13] (within 4 lunar distances) from Earth, presenting a good opportunity for observation, with Toutatis shining at magnitude 8.8 when brightest.[2] A more recent close approach of 0.0502 AU (7,510,000km; 4,670,000 mi) happened on November 9, 2008.[13][5] The next close approach will be December 12, 2012, at a distance of 0.046 AU (6,900,000 km; 4,300,000 mi),[13][5] and at magnitude 10.7.[14] At magnitude 10.7, the asteroid will not be visible to the naked eye, but may be visible to experienced observers using high-end binoculars. Toutatis was recovered on May 21, 2012, by the Siding Spring Survey at apparent magnitude 18.9.[15]
Given that Toutatis makes many close approaches the Earth, such as in 1992, 1996, 2000, 2004, 2008, and 2012, it is listed as a potentially hazardous object.[5] With an uncertainty parameter of 0,[1] the orbit of Toutatis is very well determined for the next few hundred years.[5] The probability of the orbit intersecting Earth is essentially zero for at least the next six centuries.[16] The likelihood of collision in the distant future is considered to be very small.[6] As a planet-crossing asteroid, Toutatis is likely to be ejected from the Solar System on a time scale of a few tens of thousands of years, giving it a limited number of opportunities to strike Earth before disappearing forever. As with many near-Earth objects, Toutatis was in 2004 the object for fear mongering by some doomsayers.[17]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/4179_Toutatis
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2012 THE Year of Meteors!
